- What is the likely supply of gasoline and diesel from oil worldwide to power light vehicles and trucks through 2030-2035?
- Could any other fuel economically replace gasoline? Will different parts of the world answer that question differently?
- How will the answers to these questions affect what we engineer, make, and drive in 2030–2035?
Despite the global reach of the automotive industry, it is unlikely that a solution for one region will fit all. A more reasonable goal is a set of projected ‘ecosystems’ using differing amounts of oil, electricity, or alternative fuels. From this, automotive managers and leaders can get a sense of how to make business decisions for the future.
To frame comparisons, the author qualitatively assesses each alternative against these criteria:
- energy density
- efficiency of use
- consumer convenience
- vehicle technical maturity
- delivery infrastructure maturity
- production infrastructure maturity
- rate of progress
The book is concisely written for executives, decision-makers, academics, automotive engineers and others who want or need a long-range view of trends that will influence vehicle fuels for the next 20 years.